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Prediction markets for Access Now
Prediction markets for Access Now
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Feb 15, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
365
85514
Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?
Dec 29, 1:50 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
208
21437
Which of the following ACX Grants Impact Certificates will be bought back at a higher value than they were sold for?
Mar 7, 5:04 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
6
182
What will John Oliver talk about on his show? [Mega Market]
Apr 15, 4:24 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
21
3339
Covid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths
Dec 25, 7:05 AM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
13
2065
What big joint announcements will come from India and Bhutan in 2024?
Mar 15, 12:48 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
7
231
Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?
Apr 24, 3:40 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
19
558
Will a game like Vrchat be made with Godot and other game ideas by 2028
Jan 10, 8:29 PM
Jan 18, 5:59 AM
2
24
What will be true about the new iPhone 16 pro?
Mar 12, 10:15 PM
Sep 7, 9:59 PM
21
1232
What will be true about the X (Twitter) and Brazil Supreme Court controversy by April 2025?
Apr 7, 5:58 AM
May 1, 3:59 AM
17
1877
How soon after the release of Fate/stay night Remastered will there be a working fan-patch to re-add the sex scenes?
Feb 19, 1:31 PM
Apr 1, 3:59 AM
7
138
🪦What will happen before Jimmy Carter dies? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 22, 9:17 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42
5445
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