AAS News

Legendary Sports Columnist Kirk Bohls Departs AAS After 51 Years, Colleagues Express Gratitude for Future Endeavors
Authors
5
10 days
Politics

Will a popular contract break AA bundlers (e.g. ERC4337) via usage of EIP-1153 by end of 2025?

Jan 30, 5:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.35%chance

2443

OptionVotes

YES

136

Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA- or lower before the end of 2030?

Sep 19, 12:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21%chance

273

OptionVotes

YES

149

aa

Feb 11, 8:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

239

OptionVotes

YES

Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA or lower before the end of 2030?

Sep 19, 12:53 AMDec 26, 4:59 AM

47%chance

686

OptionVotes

YES

156

144

Will @firstuserhere coauthor a publication in AIstats, AAAI, ICLR or JMLR before end of 2024? ($11,000M subsidy)

Sep 23, 11:48 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

48%chance

5069563

OptionVotes

YES

14398

8795

[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?

Nov 16, 12:06 AMSep 18, 3:59 AM

265051

Will India sign a deal with an African country to adopt its Aadhaar digital-identity system in 2024?

Dec 1, 8:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.88%chance

402321

OptionVotes

YES

2293

1145

Will @beccapao and @AaronSilverbook get married?

Dec 21, 5:39 AMJan 30, 7:59 AM

66%chance

337066

OptionVotes

YES

4885

1932

SoAI 23 3/10: Will Self-improving Al agents crush SOTA in a complex environment (e.g. AAA game, tool use, science)?

Oct 18, 6:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.95%chance

315481

OptionVotes

YES

1104

763

Will Anthropic employ Scott Aaronson before Spring 2025?

Jun 3, 6:13 PMMar 22, 6:59 AM

44.46%chance

161346

OptionVotes

YES

1118

895

Will Apple AAPL acquire a company for > 10 billion by 2030

Feb 2, 5:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.88%chance

17404

OptionVotes

YES

998

983

Will an AAA-gamemaker create a video game/FPS of the Russia-Ukraine War by 2030? (eg Call of Duty Ukraine)

Oct 1, 6:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

25.66%chance

10319

OptionVotes

YES

1087

953

Latest stories

Legendary Sports Columnist Kirk Bohls Departs AAS After 51 Years, Colleagues Express Gratitude for Future Endeavors
Authors
5
10 days
Politics

AAS News

Top stories

Prediction markets for AAS

Prediction markets for AAS

Prediction markets for AAS

Will a popular contract break AA bundlers (e.g. ERC4337) via usage of EIP-1153 by end of 2025?

Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA- or lower before the end of 2030?

aa

Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA or lower before the end of 2030?

Will @firstuserhere coauthor a publication in AIstats, AAAI, ICLR or JMLR before end of 2024? ($11,000M subsidy)

[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?

Will India sign a deal with an African country to adopt its Aadhaar digital-identity system in 2024?

Will @beccapao and @AaronSilverbook get married?

SoAI 23 3/10: Will Self-improving Al agents crush SOTA in a complex environment (e.g. AAA game, tool use, science)?

Will Anthropic employ Scott Aaronson before Spring 2025?

Will Apple AAPL acquire a company for > 10 billion by 2030

Will an AAA-gamemaker create a video game/FPS of the Russia-Ukraine War by 2030? (eg Call of Duty Ukraine)

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for AAS

Prediction markets for AAS

Prediction markets for AAS

Will a popular contract break AA bundlers (e.g. ERC4337) via usage of EIP-1153 by end of 2025?

Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA- or lower before the end of 2030?

aa

Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA or lower before the end of 2030?

Will @firstuserhere coauthor a publication in AIstats, AAAI, ICLR or JMLR before end of 2024? ($11,000M subsidy)