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Working Arrangement News
Prediction markets for Working Arrangement
Prediction markets for Working Arrangement
Will GPT-5 be capable of recursive self-improvement?
Mar 31, 6:43 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
12.47%
chance
167
76604
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5268
698
Will I have a baby by the end of 2025?
Dec 16, 6:36 AM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
14.52%
chance
159
12883
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3612
1657
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
56.32%
chance
27
1336
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
925
Will Tesla sell/lease/rent/commercialize in any way humanoid robots to outside individuals or companies by the end of 2024?
Jan 13, 4:40 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
26%
chance
9
249
Option
Votes
YES
NO
457
232
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