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Winners Final News
Prediction markets for Winners Final
Prediction markets for Winners Final
Will there be an AI language model that strongly surpasses ChatGPT and other OpenAI models before the end of 2024?
May 1, 9:58 AM
Dec 31, 1:29 PM
40.15%
chance
606
181822
Option
Votes
YES
NO
16978
10972
Will any of the winners of BARDA's mask innovation challenge be sold on Amazon and cost less than $1 (2021 USD) per unit before 2025?
Oct 22, 7:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
13%
chance
11
1115
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1568
783
Which Jockey Will Win The Most 2024 Races at the summer Saratoga Meet?
Jun 21, 9:48 PM
Sep 2, 4:15 PM
5
2530
Who will place highest on GC from Visma | Lease a Bike at the 2024 Tour de France?
Jun 3, 8:46 PM
Jul 22, 3:59 AM
11
6332
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2024 election?
Nov 1, 2:12 PM
Jan 4, 5:59 AM
47
3354
Javier Milei - Argentina's president - First Term Mega-market (5000m prize voting based contest)
Dec 18, 5:45 PM
Dec 17, 6:59 AM
102
47274
Who will win the second installment of the Manifold iterated prisoner's dilemma tournament?
Nov 15, 9:18 PM
Nov 16, 4:59 AM
8
429
Who'll win Season 4 of SailGP?
Nov 1, 9:56 PM
Jul 15, 9:59 PM
1
125
Will RCV affect any electoral college votes in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Feb 29, 5:36 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
17.54%
chance
3
138
Option
Votes
YES
NO
298
97
Which of the following aerospace/defense companies’ stock will post the best performance during CY2024?
Jan 1, 9:16 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
6
701
Which of the following tech companies’ stock will post the best performance during CY2024?
Jan 1, 11:49 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
12
1140
How many seats will Manifold correctly call in the UK 2024 General Election?
Feb 1, 11:20 AM
Jul 4, 10:59 PM
7
610
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