We Made Too Much News

Lululemon $LULU Stock Drops 40% YTD; New 'We Made Too Much' Items Include $39 Align Leggings, Revenue Growth 30% CAGR, Trailing Revenues $10 Billion
Authors
5
18 days
Economics
Business

If a song produced using Grimes' revenue sharing agreement becomes popular, will she say how much it made?

May 6, 8:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.09%chance

391

OptionVotes

YES

179

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Mar 21, 11:45 AMJul 15, 4:59 AM

4.64%chance

2755235

OptionVotes

YES

74476

15605

Will I manage to squat 3 plates this year?

Jan 18, 8:34 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.12%chance

4733590

OptionVotes

YES

1555

1483

If I spend up to another 100 hours talking to Timothy B. Lee about AI existential risk, will it be productive?

Dec 3, 9:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.64%chance

282050

OptionVotes

YES

3004

2533

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

56.32%chance

271336

OptionVotes

YES

1041

925

Will Manifold implement robust and successful incentives for publicizing information?

Nov 14, 11:09 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

14.5%chance

22803

OptionVotes

YES

1305

907

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before March 2025?

Jan 8, 10:31 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

24.09%chance

11502

OptionVotes

YES

1034

978

Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?

Feb 29, 11:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

29.51%chance

21658

OptionVotes

YES

1116

927

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

Jul 15, 9:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.13%chance

321703

OptionVotes

YES

1171

854

How many characters* will I make art of for Art Fight 2024?

Jun 25, 2:08 PMAug 1, 9:59 PM

25%chance

21427

OptionVotes

YES

1732

577

Elon helps out Sam's alignment victims by mid 2025

May 17, 9:57 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

24.38%chance

5780

OptionVotes

YES

1761

568

If I come out as nonbinary, will it go well?

Apr 5, 5:57 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

52.36%chance

451404

OptionVotes

YES

1113

862

Latest stories

Lululemon $LULU Stock Drops 40% YTD; New 'We Made Too Much' Items Include $39 Align Leggings, Revenue Growth 30% CAGR, Trailing Revenues $10 Billion
Authors
5
18 days
Economics
Business

We Made Too Much News

Top stories

Prediction markets for We Made Too Much

Prediction markets for We Made Too Much

Prediction markets for We Made Too Much

If a song produced using Grimes' revenue sharing agreement becomes popular, will she say how much it made?

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Will I manage to squat 3 plates this year?

If I spend up to another 100 hours talking to Timothy B. Lee about AI existential risk, will it be productive?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Will Manifold implement robust and successful incentives for publicizing information?

Will another congressperson have pulled a "George Santos" before March 2025?

Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?

Will a High Frame Rate film win an Academy Award before 2030?

How many characters* will I make art of for Art Fight 2024?

Elon helps out Sam's alignment victims by mid 2025

If I come out as nonbinary, will it go well?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for We Made Too Much

Prediction markets for We Made Too Much

Prediction markets for We Made Too Much

If a song produced using Grimes' revenue sharing agreement becomes popular, will she say how much it made?

Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?

Will I manage to squat 3 plates this year?

If I spend up to another 100 hours talking to Timothy B. Lee about AI existential risk, will it be productive?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?