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We Are The World News
Prediction markets for We Are The World
Prediction markets for We Are The World
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Jul 21, 6:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
84%
chance
424
3106270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3273
887
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
198
80091
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
513
321796
World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
May 22, 2:13 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
60.33%
chance
29
13529
Option
Votes
NO
YES
12221
9025
What will be the most popular Wikipedia article in 2024?
Dec 8, 1:32 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
355
47315
Worldcoin scales up to at least 10M World ID sign-ups by August 15, 2024?
Mar 16, 5:09 PM
Aug 16, 4:59 AM
21.37%
chance
18
3790
Option
Votes
YES
NO
15275
10433
🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (39 DONE)
Jan 28, 7:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68
16249
What will be the biggest topic of 2024?
Jan 10, 11:16 AM
Jan 15, 10:59 PM
223
20598
If we survive general artificial intelligence, what will be the reason?
Feb 22, 7:11 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
208
30648
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
Feb 13, 8:04 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
70.09%
chance
381
65595
Option
Votes
YES
NO
11743
6690
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
Apr 21, 8:36 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
63.65%
chance
257
66061
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1282
768
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
Articles
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Authors
5
3 months
Culture
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Authors
8
5 months
Culture
Mark Knopfler Unites 60 Guitarists, Including David Gilmour, Alex Lifeson, Slash, Tony Iommi, Eric Clapton, for Charity Single
Authors
7
5 months
Culture
Lionel Richie Premieres 'We Are The World' Doc, Duets 'All Night Long' With Jon Batiste, Bans Baby Name for Pregnant Daughter Sofia Richie, Excited for Netflix’s 'The Greatest Night In Pop', Becoming Grandfather Again
Authors
5
5 months
Culture
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