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Warnings News
Prediction markets for Warnings
Prediction markets for Warnings
Did federal agencies have advance warning of Jan 6 and fail to prevent it?
Jan 2, 4:16 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
4
65
Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?
Oct 21, 5:26 AM
Oct 21, 6:59 AM
25.73%
chance
59
3326
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1388
1106
Will social media sites have warning labels before 2028?
Jun 19, 5:53 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
57.82%
chance
19
1266
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1171
854
The FDA will warn about overuse or misuse of semaglutide (Ozempic, Wegovy and Rybelsus) before the end of 2024.
Oct 19, 12:59 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
27.41%
chance
22
932
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1098
930
Will a state, province, or country issue a public health warning or laws about AI companions in 2024?
Dec 24, 5:24 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
55.39%
chance
35
958
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1111
788
Will one of the GLP agonist drugs (eg Semaglutude/Wegovy Tirzepatide/Mounjaro) have a black box warning by 2025
Jul 2, 7:40 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
32.98%
chance
20
684
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1154
903
Will the current Israel-Hamas conflict last ten years, as some senior Israeli officials warned during Biden's trip?
Oct 20, 3:51 PM
Oct 21, 6:59 AM
10.72%
chance
17
329
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1253
942
Did the head of Egyptian intelligence warn Netanyahu about a "fierce" operation about to take place around Gaza?
Oct 9, 4:59 PM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
15.36%
chance
36
4928
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1746
570
In what year will the United States require warning labels on supplements with vitamin B6 about the risk of neuropathy?
Jun 20, 1:07 AM
Dec 27, 6:59 AM
2
150
Will "What convincing warning shot could help preve..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 7, 10:02 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
23.69%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
109
57
What is the reason for Vegapunk's warning; "The world as we know it...will sink into the sea!!"?
Apr 30, 11:42 AM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
7
307
Will Ukraine militarily destroy or disable ALL Russian A-50 airborne early warning and control aircraft by EOY 2025?
Feb 23, 11:24 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
24.59%
chance
7
188
Option
Votes
NO
YES
177
176
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NWS Issues Coastal Flood, High Wind, and Flood Watch Alerts for NYC; NYC Emergency Management Warns of Travel Disruptions
Authors
9
3 months
New York
Politics
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