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war on Gaza News
Prediction markets for war on Gaza
Prediction markets for war on Gaza
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
What will John Oliver talk about on his show? [Mega Market]
Apr 15, 4:24 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
21
3339
Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:17 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
78.42%
chance
103
11547
Option
Votes
NO
YES
4057
816
Will Israel commit war crimes by cutting off food/water, electricity, and fuel to the Gaza Strip?
Oct 9, 12:02 PM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
73.2%
chance
151
23385
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1800
1288
Will Israel be held responsible for its war crimes is Gaza?
Oct 26, 1:57 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
25.91%
chance
10
190
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1078
961
Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war
Mar 31, 11:32 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20.46%
chance
15
591
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1275
880
Will the war in Gaza cause a diplimatic crisis between Israel and the US
Nov 17, 4:35 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
38.43%
chance
23
1006
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1166
875
Will Egypt open the border for 10,000+ refugees from Gaza during the current war?
Jan 27, 8:09 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
17.15%
chance
22
1314
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1379
864
Will more than 5% of Gazans be killed during the ongoing war between IDF and Hamas by the end of 2024?
Dec 30, 6:35 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
18.42%
chance
17
712
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1113
957
How will American attitudes towards Israel in general change, according to polling, at the end of the Israel-Gaza war?
Oct 18, 2:37 AM
Jan 2, 11:17 PM
28
1202
If Biden is elected, will the 2023 Israel-Gaza war be ongoing in June 2025?
Jun 27, 8:23 PM
Jun 2, 6:59 AM
41.23%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
119
84
If Trump is elected, will the 2023 Israel-Gaza war be ongoing in June 2025?
Jun 27, 8:43 PM
Jun 2, 6:59 AM
29.79%
chance
1
55
Option
Votes
YES
NO
154
65
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7 months
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