War of Independence News
Top stories
Prediction markets for War of Independence
Will Texas Secede (formally or by declaration of independence through war) if Biden wins the 2024 election?
Mar 27, 2:50 PMJan 1, 5:25 PM
3.02%chance
525534
OptionVotes
2324
1053
Will Texas Secede (formally or by declaration of independence through war) if Trump wins the 2024 election?
Mar 27, 6:25 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
2.06%chance
122339
OptionVotes
3107
836
Will Ted Cruz be the next Republican elected President?
Aug 8, 4:43 PMNov 10, 4:59 AM
4.61%chance
416707
OptionVotes
1784
912
Will Putin's approval in Russia fall below 80% in 2024?
Dec 31, 9:08 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM
30.96%chance
1039242
OptionVotes
1864
629
Chechnya confronts Russia before the end of Russia-Ukraine war?
Jul 8, 9:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
23.94%chance
292035
OptionVotes
1232
878
OptionVotes
1088
1038
OptionVotes
1015
941
Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]
Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
36.06%chance
181026
OptionVotes
1021
939
OptionVotes
1081
963
OptionVotes
1064
935
If Ukraine accepts the peace deal Russia offers, will Russia keep it for at least 30 years?
Mar 8, 9:56 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
17.17%chance
25787
OptionVotes
1051
987
OptionVotes
1185
809
