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Prediction markets for voter

Will more than 100,000 voters decide the 2024 election?

Jun 17, 5:25 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

57.83%chance

997182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1606

923

Will voter turnout in the 2024 US Presidential Election exceed 65%?

Jun 10, 4:00 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29.96%chance

878526

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1529

654

Conditional on record high voter turnout, will Joe Biden win the 2024 election?

Mar 18, 1:07 AMDec 2, 2:59 AM

19.16%chance

262736

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2046

497

Will either of Democratic or Republican party be revealed to have used LLMs for voter prediction in the 2024 elections?

Apr 10, 5:37 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

23.25%chance

551527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1658

1423

Will Joe Biden reduce his voteshare amongst black voters in 2024?

Apr 10, 2:10 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

85.44%chance

511351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1516

833

Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?

Jan 20, 3:12 PMDec 27, 4:59 AM

56%chance

21886

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1321

623

Will voter participation in the US be higher in 2024 than 2020?

Sep 12, 6:40 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

28.82%chance

13314

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

988

Will the 2024 Oregon voter turnout be higher than 2020 Oregon voter turnout?

Jan 23, 4:30 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

69.42%chance

12397

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

985

✡️ Will there be a significant migration of Jewish voters from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party in 2024?

Mar 20, 6:07 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

24.64%chance

21534

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

955

Will the Black voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 60% or larger?

Jan 20, 3:28 PMDec 27, 4:59 AM

51.89%chance

1163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

992

Will the Asian voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 60% or larger?

Jan 20, 3:29 PMDec 27, 4:59 AM

66.23%chance

15123

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

985

Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 62% or larger?

Jan 20, 3:11 PMDec 27, 4:59 AM

50%chance

23662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

966

Articles

Latest stories

Leaked Memo Exposes Voter ID Suppression Targeting Students
Authors
5
1 month
Britain
World

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