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Vote Leave News
Prediction markets for Vote Leave
Prediction markets for Vote Leave
When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?
Jun 30, 1:52 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
58.28%
chance
41
1598
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1089
925
Will the Faroe Islands vote to leave Denmark in a referendum before 2030?
Oct 24, 3:50 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
13.19%
chance
7
151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
316
125
What will the Supreme Court rule regarding Trump's eligibility to run for/be elected president?
Jan 3, 10:27 AM
Nov 6, 5:59 AM
23
2938
Will Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania all vote together in the 2024 presidential election?
Jun 9, 5:48 AM
Dec 1, 5:59 AM
54.65%
chance
13
215
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1034
969
Will a Manifold username sell for $50 or more before the end of 2024?
Nov 10, 6:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
23.33%
chance
15
559
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1048
970
Will UK rejoin the European Union before 2050?
Feb 2, 12:59 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
42.61%
chance
25
1097
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1126
867
Will the straw hats leave egghead together?
Apr 25, 4:49 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
78%
chance
20
2033
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1180
859
Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]
Jul 7, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.33%
chance
22
817
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1381
802
If the Netherlands has a referendum on leaving the EU, will it favor leaving?
Nov 23, 1:14 AM
Nov 29, 7:59 AM
15.31%
chance
22
801
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1351
899
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
293259
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
280
347013
Which tool will be the leading AI text-to-image generator at the end of 2024?
Nov 30, 2:24 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
16
431
Articles
Latest stories
Matthew Elliott, Vote Leave Campaigner and Russia Group Founder, Made Lord
Authors
5
6 months
Britain
World
Poll Shows Clear Majority of Britons Believe Brexit Has Failed, Labour Leads with 45%
Authors
9
6 months
Britain
World
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