View News

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.4%chance

151070

OptionVotes

YES

5673

4770

Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024?

Jul 15, 2:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.08%chance

32234153

OptionVotes

YES

7097

352

Will any Rational Animations video released in 2023 or late 2022 have over 2 million views by the end of 2024?

Nov 18, 4:05 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

12.02%chance

109177801

OptionVotes

YES

3153

265

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 20M views before 2025?

Jan 8, 10:48 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

54.4%chance

321641

OptionVotes

YES

1152

723

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

50%chance

232549

OptionVotes

YES

1050

932

Will CGP Grey's 1 billion views Q&A video answer any question about trains?

Mar 30, 12:16 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

31.68%chance

412442

OptionVotes

YES

1377

679

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 20M views before 2025? (no audio requirement, slide show okay)

May 13, 9:09 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

64.3%chance

22430

OptionVotes

YES

1027

931

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 100M views before 2026?

Jan 17, 7:15 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

60.7%chance

572283

OptionVotes

YES

1086

786

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24.43%chance

351259

OptionVotes

YES

1246

894

Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?

Nov 4, 7:21 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.78%chance

13661

OptionVotes

YES

1009

943

Will Tom Scott's "This Video Has [] Views" title stop being updated before 2030?

Jul 13, 5:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

37.55%chance

11206

OptionVotes

YES

1050

891

Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?

Feb 17, 5:23 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

48.75%chance

15469

OptionVotes

YES

1050

944

Latest stories

The View's Sara Haines Accused of Anti-Catholic Bigotry Over Traditional Latin Mass Comments
Authors
5
2 months
Culture
'Ghost of John McCain' Musical Faces Backlash from Meghan McCain
Authors
9
3 months
Culture
The View Sparks Controversy by Comparing Hamas to Proud Boys
Authors
6
9 months
Politics

View News

Prediction markets for View

Prediction markets for View

Prediction markets for View

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024?

Will any Rational Animations video released in 2023 or late 2022 have over 2 million views by the end of 2024?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 20M views before 2025?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Will CGP Grey's 1 billion views Q&A video answer any question about trains?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 20M views before 2025? (no audio requirement, slide show okay)

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 100M views before 2026?

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Will Wikipedia page "Existential risk from artificial general intelligence" receive >25k views for any month in 2024?

Will Tom Scott's "This Video Has [] Views" title stop being updated before 2030?

Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for View

Prediction markets for View

Prediction markets for View

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024?

Will any Rational Animations video released in 2023 or late 2022 have over 2 million views by the end of 2024?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 20M views before 2025?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Will CGP Grey's 1 billion views Q&A video answer any question about trains?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 20M views before 2025? (no audio requirement, slide show okay)