Victory News

Will Larry Hogan come within ten points of victory in Maryland's Senate Election?

Feb 9, 5:36 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

51%chance

152827

OptionVotes

YES

3238

3163

On the Monday before the election, what probability of victory Manifold will think Joe Biden has?

Jul 3, 5:53 PMNov 5, 2:59 AM

19537915

Will Hamas declare victory against Israel in 2024?

Dec 29, 9:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.79%chance

351656

OptionVotes

YES

1123

663

Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]

Oct 10, 2:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.36%chance

285117

OptionVotes

YES

1074

789

Will Trump give a victory speech if he loses the 2024 presidential election?

Mar 20, 3:55 PMNov 6, 10:59 PM

72.91%chance

15523

OptionVotes

YES

1146

925

Will Israel announce victory over Hamas in 2024?

Feb 8, 6:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

74.92%chance

19559

OptionVotes

YES

986

974

Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)?

Feb 3, 12:16 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

52.79%chance

17596

OptionVotes

YES

1010

977

At midnight Nov 5th, will NYT's Needle calling a higher probability of victory to a democrat presidential candidate?

Apr 8, 5:11 PMNov 6, 2:59 AM

40.94%chance

12560

OptionVotes

YES

1291

710

Will Israel declare victory against Hamas in 2024?

Dec 26, 6:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.06%chance

311151

OptionVotes

YES

960

952

Will Trump be pardoned OR have a significant legal victory in the New York case before the election?

Jun 2, 6:08 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

19.87%chance

523895

OptionVotes

YES

2008

498

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Dec 23, 7:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.79%chance

11164

OptionVotes

YES

1029

973

Will the Labour Party win a landslide victory in the next UK general election? [100 seat majority]

Sep 19, 6:03 AMJul 3, 10:59 PM

95.59%chance

12915169

OptionVotes

YES

5167

245

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Victory News

Prediction markets for Victory

Prediction markets for Victory

Prediction markets for Victory

Will Larry Hogan come within ten points of victory in Maryland's Senate Election?

On the Monday before the election, what probability of victory Manifold will think Joe Biden has?

Will Hamas declare victory against Israel in 2024?

Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]

Will Trump give a victory speech if he loses the 2024 presidential election?

Will Israel announce victory over Hamas in 2024?

Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)?

At midnight Nov 5th, will NYT's Needle calling a higher probability of victory to a democrat presidential candidate?

Will Israel declare victory against Hamas in 2024?

Will Trump be pardoned OR have a significant legal victory in the New York case before the election?

Will the United States win a diplomatic, cultural, or scientific victory IRL by EOY 2100?

Will the Labour Party win a landslide victory in the next UK general election? [100 seat majority]

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Victory

Prediction markets for Victory

Prediction markets for Victory

Will Larry Hogan come within ten points of victory in Maryland's Senate Election?

On the Monday before the election, what probability of victory Manifold will think Joe Biden has?

Will Hamas declare victory against Israel in 2024?

Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]

Will Trump give a victory speech if he loses the 2024 presidential election?

Will Israel announce victory over Hamas in 2024?

Will the margin of victory in the 2024 POTUS election in Colorado be greater than in 2020 (13.5%)?