Up News

Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

Aug 29, 5:06 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78%chance

473494396

OptionVotes

YES

1075

1013

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI video generation hold up in 2024?

Sep 13, 8:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.62%chance

561805745

OptionVotes

YES

4455

2302

Worldcoin scales up to at least 10M World ID sign-ups by August 15, 2024?

Mar 16, 5:09 PMAug 16, 4:59 AM

21.76%chance

183540

OptionVotes

YES

15029

10501

Will Google mostly catch up to OpenAI in LLM quality and neutralize ChatGPT's lead by the end of 2024?

Dec 22, 2:41 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

35.23%chance

53754397

OptionVotes

YES

5458

2186

Will Unity stock be up in 2 years?

Sep 12, 8:13 PMSep 13, 6:59 AM

45.94%chance

535247

OptionVotes

YES

1000

987

[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Oct 11, 5:55 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM

410166084

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

Jan 6, 5:34 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

75.33%chance

18434413

OptionVotes

YES

3586

970

If I spend up to another 100 hours talking to Timothy B. Lee about AI existential risk, will it be productive?

Dec 3, 9:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.64%chance

282050

OptionVotes

YES

3004

2533

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Jun 6, 8:56 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.14%chance

10136671

OptionVotes

YES

2767

1283

Apr 21, 10:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.33%chance

182859

OptionVotes

YES

2888

689

[ACX 2024] Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?

Jan 1, 1:32 PMJan 2, 8:00 PM

53.68%chance

471641

OptionVotes

YES

1303

1255

Will Zvi get punished in 2024 picking up pennies in front of a steamroller?

Jan 1, 3:25 PMJan 8, 4:59 AM

16.18%chance

361779

OptionVotes

YES

1829

665

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Up News

Prediction markets for Up

Prediction markets for Up

Prediction markets for Up

Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI video generation hold up in 2024?

Worldcoin scales up to at least 10M World ID sign-ups by August 15, 2024?

Will Google mostly catch up to OpenAI in LLM quality and neutralize ChatGPT's lead by the end of 2024?

Will Unity stock be up in 2 years?

[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

If I spend up to another 100 hours talking to Timothy B. Lee about AI existential risk, will it be productive?

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Will the US Supreme Court take up a A.I. copyright case before 2025?

[ACX 2024] Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?

Will Zvi get punished in 2024 picking up pennies in front of a steamroller?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Up

Prediction markets for Up

Prediction markets for Up

Will this Yudkowsky tweet hold up?

Will this Yudkowsky tweet on AI video generation hold up in 2024?

Worldcoin scales up to at least 10M World ID sign-ups by August 15, 2024?

Will Google mostly catch up to OpenAI in LLM quality and neutralize ChatGPT's lead by the end of 2024?

Will Unity stock be up in 2 years?

[Bins up to 256,000] Death Toll in 2023 Israel Hamas war - Palestinian side

Will Rick Astley ever gonna give you up?

If I spend up to another 100 hours talking to Timothy B. Lee about AI existential risk, will it be productive?

Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)

Will the US Supreme Court take up a A.I. copyright case before 2025?

[ACX 2024] Will the Shanghai (SSE) Composite Index go up over 2024?

Will Zvi get punished in 2024 picking up pennies in front of a steamroller?

Latest stories