Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
Type 12 News
Prediction markets for Type 12
Prediction markets for Type 12
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.98%
chance
25
6444
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7198
4144
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:46 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.38%
chance
21
3391
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3809
3207
Will A.I. Have Significantly More Common Sense by end of 2024?
Mar 17, 5:05 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
30.96%
chance
67
5189
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1716
271
Will my stock trading model exceed 100% CAGR?
Jan 23, 3:07 PM
Feb 1, 4:59 AM
18.37%
chance
36
9823
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1217
910
Will the US implement AI incident reporting requirements by 2028?
Apr 28, 1:55 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
83.04%
chance
11
307
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1177
931
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PM
Dec 18, 2:59 PM
62.07%
chance
17
243
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1139
891
Will it be revealed that at least 3 people with Wikipedia articles have done IQ selection on their children before 2028?
Jun 27, 4:15 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
75.08%
chance
47
3318
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1482
680
[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?
Oct 12, 10:19 PM
Jan 2, 5:00 PM
55.88%
chance
3
61
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
100
Will any wild-type poliovirus (WPV1) cases be reported in 2025?
Aug 6, 2:48 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
50%
chance
5
83
Option
Votes
YES
NO
174
141
What will be the first published counterexample to Collatz conjecture?
Apr 14, 3:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9
455
What are the key elements of a successful fashion portfolio?
Jun 18, 4:35 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!
Mar 9, 8:51 PM
0
0
Articles
Latest stories
Japan Launches Land-to-Ship Missile Unit on Okinawa Island, Deploys Type 12 Missiles in Response to Rising Tensions
Authors
7
3 months
Asia
World
Previous
Next
