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Turning 18 News
Prediction markets for Turning 18
Prediction markets for Turning 18
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
73.68%
chance
13
2914
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1075
955
Will any country ban tobacco for the next generation by 2026?
Aug 23, 8:44 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
60.54%
chance
32
1784
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1072
945
Will any country ban tobacco for the next generation by 2030?
Aug 22, 11:13 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
88.52%
chance
21
948
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1072
968
Will Juvenile Life Without Parole (JLWOP) sentencing become a major political priority for either party before 2030?
Mar 10, 3:37 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
48.5%
chance
6
84
Option
Votes
NO
YES
220
219
Which horse will place first in the last ever Manifold Derby?
Mar 4, 2:37 PM
Mar 12, 3:59 AM
8
599
Which will happen first: a child is born on Mars, or a child flies to Mars?
Apr 3, 7:38 AM
Apr 11, 6:59 AM
24
474
Any of these 50 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024 (improved!)
Jan 1, 4:11 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
38.23%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Sep 11, 4:21 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
80
62
When will the United States end Juvenile Life Without Parole (JLWOP) sentencing?
Feb 29, 1:19 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
9
256
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
Dec 20, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
6.18%
chance
4
270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
357
29
On which continent will the next Pope to be born (meaning, as yet unborn) be born?
Apr 3, 6:51 PM
Apr 3, 3:59 AM
14
716
[Let's play] Civilization VI (Turn 99)
Jun 27, 4:26 AM
Jun 30, 9:59 PM
0
0
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Election Commission's 'Chunav Ka Parv' Campaign and SVEEP Activities for Lok Sabha 2024
Authors
10
3 months
India
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