Turing News

GPT-4 Passes Turing Test, Researchers Claim; Raises Implications and Advancements in AI
Authors
5
16 days
AI
Tech

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

Feb 14, 2:31 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52%chance

836523479

OptionVotes

YES

10317

9584

AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Mar 27, 12:37 AMMar 22, 6:59 AM

802270093

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Feb 18, 8:14 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

55%chance

588028

OptionVotes

YES

1010

929

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

Apr 8, 7:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.91%chance

4726262

OptionVotes

YES

1117

704

In 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win >25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?

Mar 9, 7:59 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM

35%chance

10338

OptionVotes

YES

999

995

Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?

Oct 17, 1:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

66.69%chance

12910

OptionVotes

YES

1031

976

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

Feb 11, 1:32 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

78.14%chance

27479

OptionVotes

YES

1202

919

Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?

May 17, 10:20 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

82.61%chance

223350

OptionVotes

YES

2179

459

Will there be more than 10 000 holders on the market “AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]” by the end of 2025?

May 22, 9:07 PMJan 5, 10:59 PM

18.91%chance

51405

OptionVotes

YES

2070

483

Did Alan Turing believe there was a non-negligible risk that AI would exterminate or enslave humanity?

Apr 7, 7:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59.2%chance

15282

OptionVotes

YES

1087

929

Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?

Feb 20, 11:12 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

62.19%chance

391017

OptionVotes

YES

1148

883

Will any model pass an "undergrad proofs exam" Turing test by 2027?

Jul 11, 8:19 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

72.77%chance

17667

OptionVotes

YES

1325

801

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Turing News

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Prediction markets for Turing

Prediction markets for Turing

Prediction markets for Turing

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

In 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win >25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?

Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?

Will AI pass Video Turing Test by 2030?

Will there be more than 10 000 holders on the market “AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]” by the end of 2025?

Did Alan Turing believe there was a non-negligible risk that AI would exterminate or enslave humanity?

Will a smart agent pass our Turing test by the end of 2025?

Will any model pass an "undergrad proofs exam" Turing test by 2027?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Turing

Prediction markets for Turing

Prediction markets for Turing

Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?

AGI When? [High Quality Turing Test]

Will Ray Kurzweil win his 2029 Turing Test bet with Mitchell Kapor?

Before 2030, will an AI complete the Turing Test in the Kurzweil/Kapor Longbet?

In 2028, will I use a chatbot that can win >25% of Turing test games (defined within) where I am the judge?

Will AI pass the Bob Ross Turing Test by 2035?

Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?