Truth or Dare News

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

57.23%chance

3622972

OptionVotes

YES

1157

865

Will Trump post the word “hamburger” on Truth Social before the election?

Apr 17, 12:47 AMNov 6, 5:59 AM

30.94%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

1079

950

If Biden wins, will $DJT (Truth Social) be above $40.00 at EOY 2024?

Mar 28, 1:52 PMDec 31, 7:00 PM

24.35%chance

22856

OptionVotes

YES

1190

906

If Trump wins, will $DJT (Truth Social) be above $40.00 at EOY 2024?

Mar 28, 1:50 PMDec 31, 7:00 PM

42.32%chance

27855

OptionVotes

YES

1104

890

Will Truth Social shares crash in value by the end of 2024? (A drop of 75% from their launch peak)

Mar 27, 12:02 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

62.65%chance

323105

OptionVotes

YES

1069

941

Will an LLM be able to match the ground truth >85% of the time when performing PII detection by 2024 end?

Apr 1, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.8%chance

254723

OptionVotes

YES

1160

944

Will Truth Social still be operating when Trump dies?

Mar 14, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.67%chance

19213

OptionVotes

YES

1047

964

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Mar 14, 4:37 PMMar 22, 3:59 AM

41.45%chance

10236

OptionVotes

YES

1002

989

Will Truth Social go bankrupt before 2026?

Apr 2, 3:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.85%chance

20662

OptionVotes

YES

1187

866

Will the Covid Lab Leak Theory become truth by the end of 2024?

Sep 13, 5:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

10.32%chance

438775

OptionVotes

YES

2210

649

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Jun 6, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

11.42%chance

152149

OptionVotes

YES

1112

952

Will EA have an out-group-based conflict resolution / 'social ground truth' body before 2025?

Dec 13, 4:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8.37%chance

10348

OptionVotes

YES

1256

943

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Truth or Dare News

Prediction markets for Truth or Dare

Prediction markets for Truth or Dare

Prediction markets for Truth or Dare

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

Will Trump post the word “hamburger” on Truth Social before the election?

If Biden wins, will $DJT (Truth Social) be above $40.00 at EOY 2024?

If Trump wins, will $DJT (Truth Social) be above $40.00 at EOY 2024?

Will Truth Social shares crash in value by the end of 2024? (A drop of 75% from their launch peak)

Will an LLM be able to match the ground truth >85% of the time when performing PII detection by 2024 end?

Will Truth Social still be operating when Trump dies?

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Will Truth Social go bankrupt before 2026?

Will the Covid Lab Leak Theory become truth by the end of 2024?

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Will EA have an out-group-based conflict resolution / 'social ground truth' body before 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Truth or Dare

Prediction markets for Truth or Dare

Prediction markets for Truth or Dare

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

Will Trump post the word “hamburger” on Truth Social before the election?

If Biden wins, will $DJT (Truth Social) be above $40.00 at EOY 2024?

If Trump wins, will $DJT (Truth Social) be above $40.00 at EOY 2024?

Will Truth Social shares crash in value by the end of 2024? (A drop of 75% from their launch peak)

Will an LLM be able to match the ground truth >85% of the time when performing PII detection by 2024 end?

Will Truth Social still be operating when Trump dies?