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Prediction markets for Trusted Country
Prediction markets for Trusted Country
Will Ukraine be an official member of NATO by 2025?
Jan 14, 9:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6.05%
chance
105
15818
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3654
1182
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
Jan 16, 1:30 PM
Jan 2, 10:59 PM
19.01%
chance
25
2033
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1191
1056
Will Gregory Pepin (deputy CEO of Deltec Bank) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Dec 25, 6:26 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
57.48%
chance
5
318
Option
Votes
NO
YES
168
112
When will a medical AI bot be authorized to make independent medical diagnoses?
Jan 29, 5:29 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
9
277
Which European countries will open a representative office in Taipei before 2032?
Apr 7, 4:56 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
5
237
Will any author of "Clever Hans or Neural Theory of Mind?" say that LLMs have some robust Theory-of-Mind (ToM) in 2026?
Jun 3, 1:53 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44%
chance
7
276
Option
Votes
NO
YES
524
438
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WEF 2024: India's Digital Infra Key to AI Leap, Gains 'Trusted Country' Status
Authors
6
6 months
India
AI
World
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