Triggered News

Will Justin Verlander hit his 2024 IP contract trigger?

May 21, 11:02 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM

19.98%chance

41024

OptionVotes

YES

2001

500

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2026?

May 4, 1:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.93%chance

10210

OptionVotes

YES

1116

960

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2031?

May 4, 1:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.6%chance

12481

OptionVotes

YES

1335

812

Will the 2024 US presidential election trigger a constitutional crisis?

Feb 21, 9:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.67%chance

532836

OptionVotes

YES

1462

628

Will America have a government shutdown triggered by transgender policy before the next election?

Sep 4, 4:07 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

6.46%chance

303572

OptionVotes

YES

1746

875

Will Romania Trigger NATO’s Article 5 by the End of 2024 Following a Russian Drone Explosion on Its Territory?

Jan 1, 6:51 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

12.25%chance

9339

OptionVotes

YES

300

152

Will the Sahm rule be triggered by the end of 2024?

Nov 5, 5:18 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

59.75%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

A French President will trigger Article 16 of the French Constitution (giving him exceptional powers) before 2030.

Jul 6, 12:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.07%chance

10741

OptionVotes

YES

268

Nintendo Switch 2 features pressure-sensitive triggers (ZR, ZL).

Jan 9, 12:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.13%chance

8111

OptionVotes

YES

213

167

Will major event occur that triggers the implementation of covid-like US lockdown before US Presidential Election 2024?

Jan 10, 6:00 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

3.53%chance

201593

OptionVotes

YES

1844

910

Will humans trigger a volcanic eruption by 2100?

Nov 11, 9:54 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

43.35%chance

9187

OptionVotes

YES

299

270

Why did lex fridman block me on X/Twitter? (and thousands of other random people)

Feb 10, 6:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22318

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Triggered News

Prediction markets for Triggered

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Prediction markets for Triggered

Will Justin Verlander hit his 2024 IP contract trigger?

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2026?

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2031?

Will the 2024 US presidential election trigger a constitutional crisis?

Will America have a government shutdown triggered by transgender policy before the next election?

Will Romania Trigger NATO’s Article 5 by the End of 2024 Following a Russian Drone Explosion on Its Territory?

Will the Sahm rule be triggered by the end of 2024?

A French President will trigger Article 16 of the French Constitution (giving him exceptional powers) before 2030.

Nintendo Switch 2 features pressure-sensitive triggers (ZR, ZL).

Will major event occur that triggers the implementation of covid-like US lockdown before US Presidential Election 2024?

Will humans trigger a volcanic eruption by 2100?

Why did lex fridman block me on X/Twitter? (and thousands of other random people)

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Triggered

Prediction markets for Triggered

Prediction markets for Triggered

Will Justin Verlander hit his 2024 IP contract trigger?

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2026?

Will OpenAI have triggered its 'Assist Clause' in order to support another lab, before 2031?

Will the 2024 US presidential election trigger a constitutional crisis?

Will America have a government shutdown triggered by transgender policy before the next election?

Will Romania Trigger NATO’s Article 5 by the End of 2024 Following a Russian Drone Explosion on Its Territory?

Will the Sahm rule be triggered by the end of 2024?