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Trending Now News
Prediction markets for Trending Now
Prediction markets for Trending Now
Will “woke (topic)” be more popular in the US on Google Trends five years from now than today?
Jun 4, 8:20 PM
Jun 5, 3:59 AM
23.7%
chance
10
1006
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1794
557
Will "rock paper scissors poker" appear on Google Trends in 2024?
Jun 16, 4:21 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
15.21%
chance
45
6540
Option
Votes
YES
NO
14664
8710
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Feb 15, 6:57 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
365
85514
2024 Oregon Department of Transportation Performance: How Will They Score on Tiered KPMs?
Apr 28, 6:37 AM
Oct 1, 6:59 AM
1
120
2030: % of "working age adults w/ serious difficulty remembering, making decisions" in US Census Survey? (long covid)
Jan 22, 1:50 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
7
206
What will be true about GPT-5?
Mar 12, 1:45 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
178
18717
How much will the user retention of a LM be increased via simple reinforcement learning by August of 2024?
Nov 19, 6:02 PM
Aug 1, 9:59 PM
1
30
On release, which of these prompts will OpenAI's Sora follow without obvious flaws?
Feb 15, 9:57 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
43
1792
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Feb 20, 10:31 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
27.3%
chance
270
30469
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2740
2379
Will Google Trends activity for 'AI' be higher on July 1st 2025 then it is today?
Jun 7, 10:30 PM
Jul 1, 11:59 PM
53.52%
chance
34
2282
Option
Votes
YES
NO
985
984
Will CS degrees trend down?
Mar 20, 10:58 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
26.62%
chance
21
492
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1088
955
Will 'bioweapon' reach a new peak in Google Trends before the end of 2025?
Aug 3, 12:54 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
17.64%
chance
28
1503
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1142
950
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Mark Zuckerberg's Threads Introduces 'Trending Now' Page for US Users
Authors
6
3 months
Tech
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