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Prediction markets for Treaty

Will there be an EU convention to amend the treaties during the 2024-2029 legislative period?

May 18, 2:57 PMJun 9, 9:59 PM

42.85%chance

5330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1655

1366

Will the Russia Ukraine war end up in a stalemate without a formal peace treaty, like Korea?

Apr 7, 6:06 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

63.54%chance

513067

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1033

951

Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign peace treaty by the end of 2030?

Dec 13, 7:27 PMDec 31, 7:59 PM

73%chance

12244

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

951

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Oct 22, 7:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.47%chance

10905

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1445

786

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2027?

Oct 26, 4:29 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

89.83%chance

121140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1961

822

By the end of 2024, Ukraine will sign a peace treaty that cedes all currently Russia-occupied land

Mar 28, 11:43 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

14.58%chance

14478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

937

By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?

Sep 13, 8:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.04%chance

191719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1816

723

Will Russia agree to a peace treaty that gives Ukraine control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Jun 17, 2:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.39%chance

9591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

317

104

Will activities banned by the Antarctica Treaty take place before 2030?

Sep 12, 9:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.93%chance

856

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

147

Will Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2026?

Oct 26, 4:29 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

76.94%chance

567

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

105

Will Ukraine agree to a peace treaty that gives Russia control of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk before 2100?

Jun 17, 2:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

57.39%chance

14481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

246

99

Will the UK and Argentina sign a sovereignty treaty over the Falkland Islands before 2040?

Sep 3, 12:28 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

28%chance

5117

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

118

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190 Nations Agree on First WIPO Treaty in Geneva, Chaired by Brazil
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