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Toxic News
Prediction markets for Toxic
Prediction markets for Toxic
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.98%
chance
25
6444
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7198
4144
Will pure LK-99 turn out to be significantly toxic to humans?
Jul 31, 12:00 AM
Jan 1, 12:13 AM
12%
chance
14
507
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1384
889
Manifold toxicity conditional market - EOY 2025
Apr 10, 7:22 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6
240
Will John Carpenter's upcoming video game Toxic Commando get a 75 or above on OpenCritic?
Dec 31, 7:24 AM
Jan 7, 7:59 AM
15.47%
chance
3
106
Option
Votes
YES
NO
131
42
AI will kill everyone by mandating toxic vaccines
Apr 10, 12:57 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
15.89%
chance
9
232
Option
Votes
YES
NO
352
130
Why is Bing Chat AI (Prometheus) less aligned than ChatGPT?
Feb 15, 2:16 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
29
2721
|| WHICH OF THESE MUSICAL REFERENCES WILL HIROIKO ARAKI USE IN HIS NEXT JOJO WORKS ||
Jan 23, 11:01 PM
Jan 30, 10:59 PM
12
304
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
Jan 30, 3:04 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
111
44025
If I come out as nonbinary, will it go well?
Apr 5, 5:57 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
52.36%
chance
45
1404
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1113
862
Will the pre-clinical results on the cancer drug AOH1996 be broadly confirmed by independent team(s)?
Aug 3, 12:23 PM
Aug 3, 9:59 PM
25.67%
chance
30
3447
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1325
806
Will Richard Scolyer's brain cancer return by the end of 2024?
Feb 3, 1:41 PM
Jan 31, 10:59 PM
54.7%
chance
9
324
Option
Votes
NO
YES
540
518
Is high Allulose consumption significantly harmful to humans?
Mar 14, 1:31 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
84%
chance
6
222
Option
Votes
NO
YES
210
96
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Authors
10
8 months
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Authors
4
8 months
Culture
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