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Prediction markets for Tournament of the Year

Will a Monopoly movie release by end of August 2026?

Aug 4, 4:16 AMSep 1, 6:59 AM

55%chance

23605

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1065

929

Across, 2025 a majority of EA funding rounds will have public forecasting questions/prediction markets to bet on whether grants will be given or whether grant goals will be met.

Sep 22, 6:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23%chance

16739

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1097

949

Will Dommaraju Gukesh ever become World Chess Champion?

Apr 20, 5:47 AMMay 30, 6:59 AM

73.7%chance

14684

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

914

Will Ian Nepomniachtchi ever become World Chess Champion?

Dec 25, 1:22 PMJul 15, 6:59 AM

23.63%chance

131347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

993

966

Will I play at least 50 FIDE-rated classical games this year?

Feb 13, 7:14 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

52.18%chance

15939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

997

976

Will Ding Liren play in the next World Chess Championship match?

Apr 15, 1:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

87.7%chance

14689

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

938

How many more Tournaments will Rafael Nadal play before retirement?

Apr 26, 5:39 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

15.78%chance

121175

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

745

Will Hans Niemann Beat Either Hikaru Nakamura or Magnus Carlsen Again in 2024?

Feb 5, 3:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.45%chance

8278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

214

120

Will Manifold have a team in any esport by the end of 2024?

Jun 5, 11:02 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

21.54%chance

5142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

Who will win FIDE Circuit 2024?

May 16, 6:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5338

What basho will be the first to feature a new Yokozuna? (Grand Sumo Tournament)

Sep 22, 6:50 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3920

Will Gul Dukat (aka Daniel Goetschel) register Picklock Prankster in one or more major Pioneer events in 2024?

Mar 1, 12:14 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

94.78%chance

91141

OptionVotes

NO

YES

752

39

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Jannik Sinner Named 2023 Most Improved Player of the Year, Carlos Alcaraz Wins Sportsmanship Award, BNP Paribas Open, Queen's Club, Nordea Open Honored
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Jannik Sinner Named 2023 Most Improved Player of the Year in ATP Awards; Carlos Alcaraz Receives Sportsmanship Award
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