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Prediction markets for Tot

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM

26%chance

101196721

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1310

1083

Will the world's Total Fertility Rate be reported to have fallen below replacement level before 2027?

Jul 14, 1:24 PMJan 2, 12:30 PM

23.9%chance

13280

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

861

Will there be a year, before 2040, in which total AI suffering outweighs total 2022 farmed animal suffering?

Mar 16, 11:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

11.97%chance

7810818

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4296

865

When will cultured meat take up 10% of the total animal-based meat market of any country?

Nov 27, 1:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

34.64%chance

231545

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

910

Will the Total Early Votes exceed 100million in the 2024 election?

Jan 20, 3:32 PMNov 28, 4:59 AM

30.04%chance

1081

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1017

986

Will the total global population exceed 8.5 billion before the end of 2031

Sep 16, 9:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.66%chance

21458

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

975

Will AI lead to a dystopia future by 2100 (totalitarianism, disempowerment)?

May 19, 3:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.39%chance

11199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1084

956

Will the total crypto market cap reach >10 trillion USDe before 2030?

Sep 29, 5:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47%chance

16629

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1024

974

Will Nvidia's market cap exceed 10% of the total S&P 500 market cap by 2030?

Jun 29, 5:44 AMJan 7, 5:59 AM

30.32%chance

132025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1516

660

Will there be an academic paper written on the total effect of microplastics on human IQ loss by 2026? (in the same way there are papers written on organophosphate pesticides and air pollution on human IQ loss)?

Jan 7, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

76.19%chance

12183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

940

Will total US military expenditure top its all-time high by 2024?

Mar 6, 5:27 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

25.37%chance

18323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

897

Will the total value locked in DeFi protocols surpass $300 billion by the end of 2024?

Jun 10, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

19.68%chance

51058

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2020

495

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