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Prediction markets for Tors

Will an EF-5 tornado occur in the United States by the end of 2024?

Feb 15, 2:17 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31%chance

15693

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

880

Will the Toronto Maple Leafs make it to the NHL playoffs in the 2025 season?

Jun 9, 4:40 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

72.76%chance

9651

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1634

612

Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 160 seats at the next UK general election?

Nov 27, 11:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.38%chance

9821110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2168

321

If ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?

Jun 5, 4:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7.55%chance

371463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

350

29

Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 200 seats at the next UK general election?

Nov 22, 11:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.5%chance

589297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3804

597

If Boris is not the leader of the Tories, will they win a majority in the next general election?

May 29, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5%chance

162226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2989

769

Will I work with Erik Torenberg in any paid capacity before July?

Feb 16, 12:02 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

7%chance

163523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3670

357

The UK Tory party will split into 2 parties or otherwise internally fall apart before 2026

Aug 30, 12:26 PMJan 6, 11:59 PM

15%chance

282444

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

721

Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 240 seats at the next UK general election?

Oct 4, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.42%chance

324974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3646

653

Will the Tories win the next general election?

Oct 20, 1:21 PMFeb 1, 5:59 AM

4.46%chance

262204

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2877

791

Will the Conservatives / Tories win more than 300 seats at the next UK general election?

Oct 4, 7:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.81%chance

222487

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3328

831

Which states will suffer tornado damage between the dates of March 15 and August 1, 2024?

Mar 16, 4:24 AMAug 2, 6:59 AM

91748

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Iskander Missiles and Ukrolancet Strikes Escalate Russia-Ukraine Conflict
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3 months
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