Top 25 News

Will Hans Niemann be ranked in the top 25 on 2700chess.com at any point during 2024?

Jan 18, 4:05 AMDec 31, 9:01 PM

41.37%chance

274707

OptionVotes

YES

3949

2615

Will at least 25 top-100 universities have a faculty-led technical AGI safety effort by the end of 2024?

Mar 6, 2:05 AMJan 15, 8:00 AM

28.94%chance

11364

OptionVotes

YES

1000

978

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

Nov 21, 4:23 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57.6%chance

431911

OptionVotes

YES

1024

965

Tesla Cybertruck will be in the top 25 selling US car models for 2025

Jul 4, 2:02 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

27%chance

363829

OptionVotes

YES

1462

756

Tesla Cybertruck will be in the top 25 selling car models for 2024

Jul 4, 2:02 PMJun 2, 6:59 AM

9%chance

252232

OptionVotes

YES

1857

820

Biden wins which states? Plus 36 other weird election markets. Tons of mana, 12k liquidity

Nov 23, 7:42 AMNov 9, 7:59 AM

11037228

Will I (@SimonGrayson) finish 2024 on the Manifold creators’ leaderboard?

Jan 3, 6:45 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

475

Will there be more than 3 films from 2024 in the IMDb Top 250 at the end of the year?

Feb 3, 12:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

47.22%chance

13345

OptionVotes

YES

1050

942

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

May 17, 11:14 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.48%chance

231385

OptionVotes

YES

3617

3394

Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

Feb 18, 5:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

294937

Taybor Pepper stock (Permanent)

Nov 12, 4:31 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

8021626

OptionVotes

YES

1571

1383

Will the Citroen e-C3 sell more than 150,000 units in Europe in 2025?

Jan 21, 10:36 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

70.59%chance

16225

OptionVotes

YES

994

983

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Top 25 News

Prediction markets for Top 25

Prediction markets for Top 25

Prediction markets for Top 25

Will Hans Niemann be ranked in the top 25 on 2700chess.com at any point during 2024?

Will at least 25 top-100 universities have a faculty-led technical AGI safety effort by the end of 2024?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

Tesla Cybertruck will be in the top 25 selling US car models for 2025

Tesla Cybertruck will be in the top 25 selling car models for 2024

Biden wins which states? Plus 36 other weird election markets. Tons of mana, 12k liquidity

Will I (@SimonGrayson) finish 2024 on the Manifold creators’ leaderboard?

Will there be more than 3 films from 2024 in the IMDb Top 250 at the end of the year?

Will there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?

Which combinations of technology will cause most disruption the world in the next 25 years?

Taybor Pepper stock (Permanent)

Will the Citroen e-C3 sell more than 150,000 units in Europe in 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Top 25

Prediction markets for Top 25

Prediction markets for Top 25

Will Hans Niemann be ranked in the top 25 on 2700chess.com at any point during 2024?

Will at least 25 top-100 universities have a faculty-led technical AGI safety effort by the end of 2024?

In the 2024 US election, will Manifold be within the top 25% accuracy among all large prediction markets?

Tesla Cybertruck will be in the top 25 selling US car models for 2025

Tesla Cybertruck will be in the top 25 selling car models for 2024

Biden wins which states? Plus 36 other weird election markets. Tons of mana, 12k liquidity

Will I (@SimonGrayson) finish 2024 on the Manifold creators’ leaderboard?