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Prediction markets for Till

Will Joe Biden live till the end of 2028?

May 19, 1:35 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.38%chance

17815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1098

956

Will Scaling Laws for Neural Language Model continue to hold till the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:36 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

65%chance

16959

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1066

953

Will Mistral retain its popularity/relevance in the AI opensource community till end of 2024?

Dec 11, 9:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79%chance

14273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

978

Will Enhanced Game continue running till 2030?

Feb 1, 6:12 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

15.25%chance

10200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

956

Will the Chinese communist party stay in power till 2033?

Sep 19, 7:44 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

89.54%chance

14533

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1336

925

Will we have androids with full human labor capabilities under 10K$ till 2030?

Jan 6, 5:15 AMApr 30, 5:59 PM

9.95%chance

191232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

940

Will Mark Zuckerberg cure all human desises till the end of the century?

Oct 23, 12:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.07%chance

14646

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

961

North-/South Korea, what happens till 2030?

Feb 8, 11:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

252552

Will it be confirmed there is no clear difference in flushing Cannabis plants compared to running nutes till harvest?

Apr 27, 4:21 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

61.1%chance

351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

141

Will Anwar Ibrahim successfully serve out his 5-year prime ministerial term till 2027?

Jan 25, 10:56 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

60

42

Will India be the superpower till 2035?

Jul 19, 6:17 AMJul 1, 6:29 PM

20%chance

6205

OptionVotes

YES

NO

222

88

Will Matt Thistlethwaite remain as Assistant Minister for the Republic in Australia till at least the end of 2024.

Jan 23, 10:07 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

71.68%chance

588

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

76

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