Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
They Will Kill You News
Prediction markets for They Will Kill You
Prediction markets for They Will Kill You
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
189
69009
Which conspiracies will be confirmed in the NYT before 2040?
Mar 12, 2:27 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23
3793
Will Yudkowsky claim that he is more than 90% sure that AI will kill everyone no later than 1 year after the claim?
Jun 3, 2:10 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
30.98%
chance
38
14288
Option
Votes
YES
NO
14526
7010
🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (38 DONE)
Jan 28, 7:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
68
16238
Will @NathanpmYoung live to 1000 due to AGI? And if not, why?
Sep 13, 6:03 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
64
12694
What's an unconventional opinion or idea that you've encountered which most people might not agree with? [FREE RESPONSE]
Oct 9, 8:29 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
48
8154
Will an AI related disaster kill a million people or cause $1T of damage before 2070?
Sep 2, 8:54 AM
Sep 9, 10:59 PM
31.64%
chance
51
7591
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1371
658
What 2+ word phrases will appear unbroken in a front-page NYT headline before 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 28, 8:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
146
35229
Will AI kill >20% of the human population before 2030?
Feb 20, 6:37 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
9.51%
chance
132
95428
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3500
1704
Which of Casey Newton's 2024 predictions will come true? [Multiple Choice]
Dec 16, 10:40 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
197
18467
Daemon Targaryen vs Aemond Targaryen: Who will do best in House of The Dragon Season 2?
Mar 30, 7:40 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
10
414
If a friendly AI takes control of humanity, which of the propositions ought it find true?
May 30, 8:38 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
19
8882
Articles
Latest stories
Zazie Beetz to Star in Muschiettis' First Nocturna Film 'They Will Kill You' for Skydance
Authors
5
16 days
Culture
Previous
Next
