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The Wire News
Prediction markets for The Wire
Prediction markets for The Wire
Will Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2027?
May 3, 1:31 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
22.7%
chance
20
224
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1102
949
Will Google announce a Pixel model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2027?
May 3, 1:30 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.06%
chance
11
116
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1094
952
Will Google announce a Pixel model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2029?
May 2, 6:09 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
65.53%
chance
8
77
Option
Votes
NO
YES
138
73
A Drive-by-wire related disaster leads to widespread criticism and requests for regulation of the technology by mid 2025
Jan 16, 9:06 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
19.96%
chance
5
103
Option
Votes
YES
NO
189
102
Will the DOJ charge Tesla with wire fraud or securities fraud?
May 8, 9:18 PM
May 9, 4:59 AM
54.61%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
91
Will Manifold promptly wire all the panic donations due to The Pivot?
Apr 23, 1:40 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
55.1%
chance
4
45
Option
Votes
NO
YES
134
107
Will the DOJ charge Tesla executives with wire fraud or securities fraud?
May 8, 9:20 PM
May 9, 4:59 AM
53.04%
chance
3
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
106
94
Will Apple announce an iPhone model with no external ports for wires or connections before the end of 2029?
May 2, 6:08 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
45.02%
chance
5
51
Option
Votes
YES
NO
111
90
Will Texas Allow Border Patrol To Tear Down The Razor Wire At Eagle Pass By The End Of 2024?
Feb 23, 6:34 PM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
64.73%
chance
5
191
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
96
What is the hardest line in fiction, according to Manifold?
Apr 10, 6:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
24
3794
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2
Feb 28, 7:57 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
71
32940
Which of the following media outlets will close *or* undergo significant downsizing/restructuring before 2028?
Mar 2, 3:42 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
13
706
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