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Top stories

Alyssa Farah Griffin Calls Biden's Team 'Historically Bad' and Feels 'Duped'
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1 day
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Prediction markets for The View

Will Rational Animations' video about Manifold Markets reach 200k views by the end of 2024?

Jul 15, 2:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.08%chance

32234153

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7097

352

Will any Rational Animations video released in 2023 or late 2022 have over 2 million views by the end of 2024?

Nov 18, 4:05 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

11.13%chance

109177667

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3259

251

Will the UFO retrieval program claims by whistleblower David Grusch be viewed as accurate in June of 2024?

Jun 6, 4:17 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

1%chance

174140873

OptionVotes

YES

NO

25952

1904

Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?

Feb 17, 5:23 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

48.75%chance

15469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

944

Will Twitter implement an easy way to view the entire tree structure of tweet threads?

Dec 13, 2:56 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

21.16%chance

16182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

951

Will the first AI generated video to reach 20M views on YouTube be a music video?

May 13, 11:14 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

78.37%chance

18348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

953

Will a video on Youtube break the current record for most viewed independent animation pilot before Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 1, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63.31%chance

15163

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

964

Will Destiny publish a video that surpasses the Alex Jones Jan. 6th debate in views in 2024?

Jan 17, 5:30 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

53.35%chance

303545

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

969

Will any of the videos uploaded to Mark Rober's YouTube channel in Oct 2024 surpass 20M views?

Jan 30, 2:37 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

72.78%chance

455

OptionVotes

NO

YES

185

97

Will any of the videos uploaded to Lex Fridman's YouTube channel in Oct 2024 surpass 1M views?

Feb 6, 3:47 AMNov 1, 3:59 AM

71.68%chance

563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

115

The Million Views Challenge: Will the first market to reach 1 Million views receive an reward for it?

Feb 28, 6:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

23.56%chance

6142

OptionVotes

YES

NO

261

107

Will any RationalAnimations video surpass the views of their old Conway's Game of Life one by the end of 2025?

Apr 14, 11:21 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.18%chance

8324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

167

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