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Prediction markets for The Unknown
Will a new pandemic caused by a currently unknown virus be declared by the World Health Organization by 2030?
Jan 23, 3:36 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
43.13%
chance
25
538
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1032
962
Will a new species, previously unknown to science, be discovered in Lake Vostok by the end of 2025?
Aug 8, 10:05 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
64.2%
chance
8
88
Option
Votes
NO
YES
224
167
Greatest Mathematician of all time
Aug 11, 11:37 PM
Jan 1, 1:00 AM
138
15360
Where will Andrej Karpathy work next after OpenAI, before 2025?
Feb 14, 1:43 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
89
7483
What will be true about the effect of geoengineering on the planet by 2026? (Add your own answer)
Apr 14, 10:10 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
18
993
Who will win the Skibidi wars? π¨π»π½ βοΈ πΊπΉ
Jan 12, 2:36 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11
201
Would any of these be the accepted explanation for one of the pentagon UFO videos / david grusch's claims by 2028?
Oct 29, 7:33 AM
Jan 1, 6:14 PM
8
534
Who will be acting CEO of OpenAI on September 1st, 2024?
May 23, 1:58 AM
Sep 2, 6:59 AM
76
19439
Who hacked @SECGov on X/Twitter? [Free response]
Jan 9, 10:27 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25
2391
What will Sam Altman be doing on June 30 2025?
Nov 28, 12:59 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
6
361
What will the lineage of GPT-4o be known to be at the end of 2024?
May 14, 6:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9
433
Where will the first-known extraterrestrial life come from?
Aug 24, 8:33 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
11
269
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