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The Third Man News
Prediction markets for The Third Man
Prediction markets for The Third Man
With the third human case of H5N1 Bird Flu reported in US, how many human cases will be confirmed in 2024?
May 31, 5:16 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
31
5262
If a third party starts allowing Manifold users to cash out their mana for real money, will Manifold shut it down?
Mar 17, 7:42 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
93.29%
chance
8
908
Option
Votes
NO
YES
399
116
Will Joe Manchin be on a third-party presidential ticket in 2024?
Nov 9, 8:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
2.05%
chance
22
3627
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3226
754
How many times will Trump say "China" in the third Presidential debate?
Mar 20, 10:21 PM
Aug 28, 3:59 AM
2
15
Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer,
Jan 16, 10:31 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
6
417
GET RICH EVEN QUICKER!!!: Manifold's third completely legal Ponzi scheme [100% of investments go back to the people!]
Aug 11, 12:41 PM
Aug 12, 4:59 AM
0
0
Will Eliud Kipchoge win another Olympic gold medal?
May 7, 1:04 PM
Sep 1, 3:59 AM
13.75%
chance
19
3738
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1382
867
Will Doors of Stone, the third book of the Kingkiller Chronicle by Patrick Rothfuss, be released before 2025?
Dec 29, 10:07 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4.41%
chance
41
5666
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2934
808
Will Elon Musk buy a significant share (>5%) of the New York Times in the next 5 years?
Apr 8, 2:39 AM
Apr 8, 4:59 AM
7.89%
chance
18
280
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1232
967
Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2032?
Nov 2, 1:14 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 PM
40.34%
chance
4
42
Option
Votes
YES
NO
96
84
Will a 'civilian' Vice Chairman of Central Military Committee of the CCP be elected before Autumn 2027?
Nov 2, 1:11 PM
Nov 1, 3:59 PM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
60
42
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AEW Worlds End: Fans Decry 'Worst PPV Ever', Ending AEW's 'Helluva Run'
Authors
8
6 months
Sports
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