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The Tent News
Prediction markets for The Tent
Prediction markets for The Tent
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
293198
Which hotel will the White Lotus Season 3 be filmed at?
Dec 8, 6:43 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
11
1266
If I find a violation of universal free fall, will I come up with a promising tentative explanation?
Jan 4, 3:15 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
26.62%
chance
15
233
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1090
951
Will Yamato be the tenth Strawhat
Mar 26, 2:02 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
22.5%
chance
22
954
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1199
906
Will the tenth Dedekind number be known by 2040?
Aug 25, 7:21 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
60.63%
chance
12
442
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1093
927
On how nights nights will Spencer sleep in a tent outside overnight in 2024?
Feb 25, 3:01 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3
172
Which fully autonomous system will be first to replace a tenth of the humans in its field?
Jan 7, 6:39 AM
Apr 21, 6:59 AM
6
98
Will the United States of America win at least one tenth of all Gold medals at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris?
Mar 13, 5:20 PM
Aug 12, 1:30 PM
90.34%
chance
7
242
Option
Votes
NO
YES
381
94
Will the United States of America win at least one tenth of all medals at the 2024 Summer Olympics in Paris?
Mar 13, 6:57 PM
Aug 12, 1:30 PM
90.27%
chance
8
1215
Option
Votes
NO
YES
359
138
Will the far-right political group hold 94 or more seats in the tenth European Parliament?
Feb 14, 6:35 AM
Sep 1, 8:59 PM
17.06%
chance
10
381
Option
Votes
YES
NO
415
83
Will ANY 2020 blue states/districts flip red in 2024?
Sep 5, 6:35 PM
Nov 6, 4:59 AM
84.47%
chance
10
310
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1108
962
Articles
Latest stories
VR Documentary 'Walk to Westerbork' Premieres at SXSW, Directed by Mary Matheson, Featuring Dutch Holocaust Survivor
Authors
5
4 months
AR-VR
Tech
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