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The Substance News
Prediction markets for The Substance
Prediction markets for The Substance
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2025? [ACX 2024]
Jan 1, 1:32 PM
Jan 2, 7:00 AM
63.2%
chance
530
571856
Option
Votes
NO
YES
3966
2095
Will Marijuana be removed from Schedule I of the US Controlled Substance Act by the end of Biden's current term?
Oct 21, 4:00 PM
Jan 21, 4:59 AM
58.79%
chance
161
46867
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1321
1239
Will a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?
Oct 17, 1:32 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
79.1%
chance
15
451
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1184
922
Will marijuana cease to be classified as a Schedule 1 drug under the U.S. Controlled Substances Act by January 1, 2030?
Jul 24, 9:16 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
91.84%
chance
73
3031
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2186
823
Will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act before 2026?
Mar 13, 6:01 AM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
91.56%
chance
10
924
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1418
890
Will the substance Psilocybin be removed from Schedule 1 in the UK by the end of 2024?
May 30, 9:17 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7.89%
chance
11
1252
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1310
927
When will cannabis be removed from Schedule I of the Controlled Substance Act?
Jan 14, 11:51 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15
1237
🧑⚖️What crimes will active Manifold users be indicted for before the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]
Apr 2, 6:08 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9
511
What will P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) be convicted of?
Apr 2, 1:47 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
8
82
What will be true of the first Enhanced Games?
Feb 2, 5:10 PM
Oct 2, 3:59 AM
40
1861
If a Manifold staff member or moderator be arrested/punished for a misdemeanor or felony, what crime will it be?
Nov 12, 7:52 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
25
1433
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
32.42%
chance
25
5858
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7798
3832
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