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The Shot News
Prediction markets for The Shot
Prediction markets for The Shot
Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?
May 22, 1:53 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
37%
chance
12
269
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1025
981
Will the cop who shot Nahel M. be found guilty of homicide?
Jun 29, 4:04 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
57.65%
chance
42
1758
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1019
936
Will an Israeli combat aircraft be shot down by enemy forces during the current conflict or any downstream conflicts?
Oct 14, 12:21 AM
Oct 14, 6:59 AM
27.77%
chance
30
2000
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1328
738
Has Ukraine shot down the IL-76 plane?
Jan 24, 12:04 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
89.87%
chance
20
1255
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1596
800
Will "What convincing warning shot could help preve..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 7, 10:02 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
23.69%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
NO
YES
109
57
More long shot bets: How many of the 10 linked markets will resolve as expected?
Nov 26, 9:46 PM
Jan 4, 6:59 AM
6
1023
What did the Il-76 shot down on 1/24 carry?
Jan 24, 1:24 PM
Jun 30, 9:59 PM
25
2043
Will Israel find the soldier(s) who shot a West Bank 8-year-old in the back of the head guilty of any crime?
May 2, 4:10 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
45.77%
chance
3
30
Option
Votes
YES
NO
109
92
Will anyone undergo any procedures in an "attempt" to prove P. Diddy (Sean “Puffy” Combs) shot them in the face?
Apr 2, 1:50 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
43.79%
chance
2
121
Option
Votes
YES
NO
159
122
Will Ron Jeremy live long enough to see the first released sex/porn film shot in space?
Jun 19, 5:46 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
27.9%
chance
6
930
Option
Votes
YES
NO
161
62
Will YouTube channel How Ridiculous break the world record for highest basketball shot by the end of 2025?
May 21, 10:05 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
24.51%
chance
4
72
Option
Votes
YES
NO
122
41
Will Ron Jeremy live long enough to see the first released sex/porn film shot on the moon?
Jun 19, 5:47 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5.46%
chance
15
482
Option
Votes
YES
NO
416
24
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6
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7
2 months
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5
4 months
NCAA
Sports
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