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The Regime News
Prediction markets for The Regime
Prediction markets for The Regime
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
Jun 20, 10:38 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
44.24%
chance
13
1140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
891
Will North Korea announce a formal regime succession plan by the end of 2025?
Dec 23, 4:19 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
20.29%
chance
13
331
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
950
Will North Korea announce a formal regime succession plan by the end of 2024?
Dec 21, 4:16 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
13.71%
chance
13
238
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1075
970
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
291509
⌛What will happen in my lifetime?
Feb 28, 10:51 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
57
6292
What TV shows will I watch at least two episodes of before 2025?
May 22, 11:42 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
10
7787
Who will control Gaza 6 months after the war and how?
Oct 29, 5:12 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
60
3339
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
280
345733
Will Kazakhstan be classified as a "hybrid regime" by 2025?
Sep 29, 5:17 AM
Jul 7, 3:59 AM
29.38%
chance
12
186
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1086
949
Will A.I. technology lead to regime change and /or state collapse in a UN member state by 2043?
Aug 28, 10:52 PM
Dec 5, 8:59 PM
64%
chance
16
305
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1005
979
At least 1 G7 Country will have been under a fascist authoritarian regime for at least 6 months by 2035
Jun 11, 10:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.19%
chance
7
214
Option
Votes
YES
NO
398
210
Protests occur in Iran calling for regime change result in 2 or more deaths of protesters.
Apr 17, 6:03 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
85.23%
chance
4
215
Option
Votes
NO
YES
446
160
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