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The Real Deal News
Prediction markets for The Real Deal
Prediction markets for The Real Deal
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)
May 9, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
34.45%
chance
22
17148
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1016
956
Will users under 18 years old be allowed to use Manifold throughout 2024?
Apr 23, 1:55 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
27.34%
chance
42
4317
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1901
946
Will OpenAI complete another $100M+ acquisition in 2024 after Rockset deal?
Jun 21, 8:44 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
54.03%
chance
3
540
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1084
922
3) The terms “large language model” and “LLM” will become less common.
Dec 25, 1:32 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
71.62%
chance
44
1315
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1248
857
When will we be able to chat with an AI convincingly impersonating a famous historical or living person?
Feb 5, 10:08 PM
Jan 2, 10:59 PM
24
886
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Latest stories
Amanda Serrano Wins BWAA Female Fighter of the Year Award for 2023, Second Time in Career
Authors
4
27 days
UFC
Sports
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