The Parting Shot News
Prediction markets for The Parting Shot
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2035?
Mar 23, 6:32 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
74.15%chance
12381
OptionVotes
1107
939
OptionVotes
4429
892
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2030?
Mar 23, 6:31 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
65.91%chance
16384
OptionVotes
1104
925
Will there be a conflict over the South China Sea between two claimant states by the end of 2025?
Mar 23, 6:29 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM
42.2%chance
361874
OptionVotes
1006
977
How many of 10 distinct objects will Sora depict, given a 100% visual prompt that doesn't include any of the objects?
Feb 17, 7:52 AMMar 1, 7:59 AM
43.38%chance
892
OptionVotes
215
166
Will "What convincing warning shot could help preve..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 7, 10:02 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
23.69%chance
110
OptionVotes
109
57
Which Oscar nominations will "Dune: Part Two" receive at the 97th Academy Awards? [Mega-market]
Mar 2, 3:26 PMMar 29, 6:59 AM
9695
Will a Quad country or the PRC publicly accuse the other of using a weapon against its forces
Nov 27, 10:02 PMOct 2, 6:59 AM
25.19%chance
482
OptionVotes
155
86
Which Oscars will "Dune: Part Two" win at the 97th Academy Awards? [Mega-market]
Mar 2, 3:28 PMMar 29, 6:59 AM
20911
