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The New Statesman News
Prediction markets for The New Statesman
Prediction markets for The New Statesman
Will a Longtermist act of pre-emptive violence be reported by multiple credible news sources by 1st Jan 2028?
Aug 11, 10:40 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
23.95%
chance
10
286
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1050
974
Longtermist Policymakers create mass-surveillance civilisational risk monitoring programme by 1st Jan 2028
Aug 11, 11:25 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
39.31%
chance
2
15
Option
Votes
YES
NO
105
78
Longtermist Policymaking provokes Thermonuclear War by 1st Jan 2028
Aug 11, 11:42 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
12.54%
chance
9
341
Option
Votes
YES
NO
414
151
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Musk, SpaceX, Amazon, Trader Joe's Target NLRB and New Deal Order
Authors
6
4 months
Culture
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