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The Neighborhood News
Prediction markets for The Neighborhood
Prediction markets for The Neighborhood
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
200
80903
Ernie crazy project goals log for calibration. Wannabe ze frank
Mar 26, 6:38 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3
45
Can GPT-5 guess between a Biden and a Trump neighborhood?
Feb 29, 5:02 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
34%
chance
7
77
Option
Votes
YES
NO
261
191
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
56.32%
chance
27
1336
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
925
Will the Esquire Theatre in Denver, Colorado, be operational as a theatre in 2025?
Jun 8, 7:50 AM
Jan 13, 6:59 AM
19.2%
chance
3
1075
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2052
487
Will there be any credible reports of interesting data on a Flipper Zero being transmitted off the device?
Jan 22, 3:47 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
28.78%
chance
14
339
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1223
869
Will anyone be elected to political office while promising to outsource all their decision-making to an AI before 2025?
Apr 13, 11:22 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
9.54%
chance
56
2562
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1273
981
If I try to convince my 105 year old neighbor to sign up for cryonics, will I succeed?
Nov 28, 6:57 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
4.12%
chance
38
2534
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1763
917
Is the Mandelbrot set locally connected?
Oct 15, 6:02 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
90.98%
chance
5
151
Option
Votes
NO
YES
281
89
Will the two Aviation Boulevard stations on Los Angeles Metro's K Line open before the end of 2024?
Mar 20, 12:29 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
30.37%
chance
3
62
Option
Votes
YES
NO
107
45
Will I be able to go to Goulds in GTA6?
Dec 10, 4:53 AM
Mar 2, 4:59 AM
51.96%
chance
3
21
Option
Votes
YES
NO
91
88
Will California AB 68 (AB 68 – The Housing and Climate Solutions Act) pass in the 2023 - 24 legislative session?
May 22, 9:50 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
1.23%
chance
2
402
Option
Votes
YES
NO
468
26
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Latest stories
Paramount+ Orders 'Crutch' Spinoff Expanding 'The Neighborhood' Universe
Authors
4
2 months
Culture
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