The Letter News

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

May 23, 1:04 PMMay 25, 3:59 AM

87.86%chance

305941

OptionVotes

YES

2690

372

Will a program or person exist that finds/draws arbitrary 5 letter words by zooming into the mandelbrot set by Jan 2025?

Sep 30, 4:40 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

20.63%chance

18843

OptionVotes

YES

1207

927

Did the board of OpenAI recieve a letter about the Q* AI 'breakthrough'?

Nov 23, 1:03 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.11%chance

15585

OptionVotes

YES

1214

852

Will "On the FLI Open Letter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

May 18, 3:53 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.86%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

1010

998

Will Pridi's Letter Reveal in 2024 is Going To Solve the Murder Case of Rama VIII of Thailand?

Aug 3, 7:30 PMDec 31, 4:59 PM

24.75%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

165

At the beginning of 2028, will .info still be the most popular TLD of >3 letters?

Feb 10, 2:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

47.75%chance

542

OptionVotes

YES

162

138

Will Manifold be sent a case and desist letter from a state or federal attorney by the end of 2025?

May 1, 2:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.34%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

155

127

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

Apr 2, 3:23 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

28.04%chance

9562

OptionVotes

YES

314

227

Will Canada Post raise the cost of a domestic letter (30 g) to $1 CAD or more by end of 2027?

Dec 18, 1:34 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

71.93%chance

483

OptionVotes

YES

167

108

Will USPS raise retail stamp rates for a US domestic First-Class Mail Letter (1 oz) to $1 or more by the end of 2030?

Dec 15, 2:38 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

47.4%chance

9152

OptionVotes

YES

191

133

Will the English language still contain the letter Q at the beginning of 2100?

Jan 29, 6:33 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

88.18%chance

8286

OptionVotes

YES

269

111

Who wrote the pink letter?

Sep 10, 12:57 PMJan 1, 1:57 PM

10390

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The Letter News

Prediction markets for The Letter

Prediction markets for The Letter

Prediction markets for The Letter

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

Will a program or person exist that finds/draws arbitrary 5 letter words by zooming into the mandelbrot set by Jan 2025?

Did the board of OpenAI recieve a letter about the Q* AI 'breakthrough'?

Will "On the FLI Open Letter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will Pridi's Letter Reveal in 2024 is Going To Solve the Murder Case of Rama VIII of Thailand?

At the beginning of 2028, will .info still be the most popular TLD of >3 letters?

Will Manifold be sent a case and desist letter from a state or federal attorney by the end of 2025?

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

Will Canada Post raise the cost of a domestic letter (30 g) to $1 CAD or more by end of 2027?

Will USPS raise retail stamp rates for a US domestic First-Class Mail Letter (1 oz) to $1 or more by the end of 2030?

Will the English language still contain the letter Q at the beginning of 2100?

Who wrote the pink letter?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Letter

Prediction markets for The Letter

Prediction markets for The Letter

Will a more significant protest calling for a pause in AI than the pause letter by May 2029 (or an actual pause)?

Will a program or person exist that finds/draws arbitrary 5 letter words by zooming into the mandelbrot set by Jan 2025?

Did the board of OpenAI recieve a letter about the Q* AI 'breakthrough'?

Will "On the FLI Open Letter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will Pridi's Letter Reveal in 2024 is Going To Solve the Murder Case of Rama VIII of Thailand?

At the beginning of 2028, will .info still be the most popular TLD of >3 letters?

Will Manifold be sent a case and desist letter from a state or federal attorney by the end of 2025?

Will the US Congress authorize the issue of letters of marque and reprisal before 2050?

Will Canada Post raise the cost of a domestic letter (30 g) to $1 CAD or more by end of 2027?

Will USPS raise retail stamp rates for a US domestic First-Class Mail Letter (1 oz) to $1 or more by the end of 2030?

Will the English language still contain the letter Q at the beginning of 2100?

Who wrote the pink letter?

Latest stories