The Insider News

Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2024 ?

Jan 2, 6:33 AMFeb 28, 12:59 PM

37.81%chance

14522

OptionVotes

YES

1120

731

Will Russia lose control of at least as much territory inside Russia as it did to Wagner by the end of 2030?

Jun 26, 12:33 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

38.02%chance

26614

OptionVotes

YES

1046

903

Will it be possible to live inside a computer where you are still conscious inside even if the computer is destroyed?

Jan 31, 1:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.07%chance

15586

OptionVotes

YES

990

961

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a JAIL Cell? (Not a prison cell)

Aug 15, 11:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

54.91%chance

21824

OptionVotes

YES

1152

804

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a PRISON Cell? (Not a jail cell)

Aug 15, 11:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

22.19%chance

191250

OptionVotes

YES

1711

670

The solution to Fermi Paradox's great filter question is that the greater solar system is all inside a petri dish

Jun 3, 8:42 PMJul 4, 6:59 AM

5.65%chance

265547

OptionVotes

YES

4085

245

Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job?

Nov 12, 8:46 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

10.47%chance

233289

OptionVotes

YES

1835

491

Is there currently a black hole inside the Earth?

Oct 19, 6:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

7.46%chance

13353

OptionVotes

YES

1239

952

Will the US president confirm the presence of Non-Human Intelligence inside our solar system before the end of 2024?

Oct 20, 6:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.75%chance

243580

OptionVotes

YES

1100

958

What will be the difference in worldwide gross between "Despicable Me 4" and "Inside Out 2"?

Apr 25, 9:02 PMOct 9, 6:59 AM

51782

Will "Goodhart's Law inside the human mind" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Mar 26, 8:53 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.59%chance

OptionVotes

YES

123

120

Will more than 20% of blood bags use non-PVC, or non-plastic/microplastic-emitting material on the inside, by EOY 2030?

Apr 27, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.5%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

149

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The Insider News

Prediction markets for The Insider

Prediction markets for The Insider

Prediction markets for The Insider

Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2024 ?

Will Russia lose control of at least as much territory inside Russia as it did to Wagner by the end of 2030?

Will it be possible to live inside a computer where you are still conscious inside even if the computer is destroyed?

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a *JAIL* Cell? (Not a *prison* cell)

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a *PRISON* Cell? (Not a *jail* cell)

The solution to Fermi Paradox's great filter question is that the greater solar system is all inside a petri dish

Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job?

Is there currently a black hole inside the Earth?

Will the US president confirm the presence of Non-Human Intelligence inside our solar system before the end of 2024?

What will be the difference in worldwide gross between "Despicable Me 4" and "Inside Out 2"?

Will "Goodhart's Law inside the human mind" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?

Will more than 20% of blood bags use non-PVC, or non-plastic/microplastic-emitting material on the inside, by EOY 2030?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Insider

Prediction markets for The Insider

Prediction markets for The Insider

Will a new interstellar object be observed inside the solar system in 2024 ?

Will Russia lose control of at least as much territory inside Russia as it did to Wagner by the end of 2030?

Will it be possible to live inside a computer where you are still conscious inside even if the computer is destroyed?

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a *JAIL* Cell? (Not a *prison* cell)

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a *PRISON* Cell? (Not a *jail* cell)

The solution to Fermi Paradox's great filter question is that the greater solar system is all inside a petri dish

Will the alleged 2022/11/11 FTX hack turn out to be an inside job?

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a JAIL Cell? (Not a prison cell)

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a PRISON Cell? (Not a jail cell)

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a JAIL Cell? (Not a prison cell)

Will Donald Trump ever see the inside of a PRISON Cell? (Not a jail cell)