Search
News Chat
Login
Search
Top
For You
Business
Crypto
Culture
Environment
Politics
Science
Sports
Tech
Video Games
World
The Inheritance News
Top stories
Director Alejandro Brugués to Release Horror Film 'The Inheritance' Trailer on July 12 with Star-Studded Cast
Authors
6
11 days
Culture
Prediction markets for The Inheritance
Prediction markets for The Inheritance
Which of the following promises will be in the conservative party Manifesto?
Dec 28, 10:12 AM
Mar 31, 10:59 PM
27
1535
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jun 30, 4:00 PM
256
309130
Are these programming language features underrated or overrated?
Jun 6, 10:30 PM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
62
8989
Will >10 people committed to EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become billionaires (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
Dec 10, 1:35 PM
Feb 28, 5:00 AM
22%
chance
17
559
Option
Votes
NO
YES
992
979
Will an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
Feb 20, 6:13 AM
Feb 28, 5:00 AM
74.04%
chance
43
1885
Option
Votes
NO
YES
996
992
Will >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, *including* crypto or inheritance?
Dec 10, 1:36 PM
Feb 28, 5:00 AM
17.97%
chance
17
817
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1196
932
Will Julia Koch (Koch Industries part-inheritor) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
May 15, 11:01 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
6.64%
chance
4
198
Option
Votes
YES
NO
288
47
Will there be an 18 year old [or younger] self-made billionaire (in 2023 dollars) by 2030?
Sep 13, 8:54 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
33.08%
chance
68
5564
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2707
1784
Will my neighbor Gail's house go up for sale before 2025?
Jun 27, 7:39 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
19.13%
chance
13
414
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1081
954
What will be the first animal (sub)species to be de-extincted?
May 4, 12:19 AM
Dec 31, 8:59 PM
6
149
Will Republicanos have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?
Jul 7, 10:48 PM
Apr 1, 2:59 AM
34%
chance
4
90
Option
Votes
YES
NO
119
70
Will the next US president close the step-up basis tax loophole?
Apr 10, 3:33 AM
Jan 17, 7:59 AM
25.08%
chance
3
140
Option
Votes
YES
NO
375
156
Articles
Latest stories
Director Alejandro Brugués to Release Horror Film 'The Inheritance' Trailer on July 12 with Star-Studded Cast
Authors
6
11 days
Culture
Previous
Next