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The Immolator News
Prediction markets for The Immolator
Prediction markets for The Immolator
Will another person self-immolate in the United States for a political purpose by the end of 2024?
Apr 20, 3:09 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
43.75%
chance
50
1819
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1111
886
Will another person immolate themself in 2024 as a protest against the Israeli destruction of Gaza?
Feb 27, 3:19 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
33.32%
chance
53
5381
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1345
757
Will there be another high-profile self-immolation in the US within the next six months?
Apr 20, 5:53 AM
Oct 27, 6:59 AM
34.75%
chance
51
3231
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1384
693
Over 4.5 publicly recorded immolations in the United States before EoD November 5th.
Apr 20, 3:55 AM
Nov 7, 5:59 AM
68%
chance
4
76
Option
Votes
NO
YES
183
110
What will be the 2024 Manifold Market of the Year?
Jan 19, 8:14 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
20
2031
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
276
337371
Mission Control: How should we use the 🚀Tactical☢️Nuclear🪙Mana🌟Spirit💣Bomb?
Mar 7, 1:19 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
88
11259
Which market will be Manifold's favorite market of 2024? [ADD RESPONSES]
May 28, 4:59 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
26
1983
Will there be another self immolation, for Israel Palestine purpose, this year?
Feb 28, 8:51 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
33.48%
chance
34
5456
Option
Votes
NO
YES
989
916
Will at least 10 people self immolate in protest (of something) this year?
Apr 22, 9:59 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
14.47%
chance
18
552
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1323
897
Will there be more political self-immolations in 2025 as compared to 2024 as reported by Wikipedia?
Feb 28, 5:09 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
47.35%
chance
9
224
Option
Votes
YES
NO
225
214
Will Donald Trump choose a VP running mate before Travis Kelce proposes to Taylor Swift?
May 27, 11:25 PM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
96.97%
chance
17
4957
Option
Votes
NO
YES
5660
177
Articles
Latest stories
'The Immolator' Admits Uploading 132 Torture Videos in Monkey Abuse Network
Authors
9
2 months
Britain
World
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