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The Graduate News
Prediction markets for The Graduate
Prediction markets for The Graduate
Will the UK government change the conditions of graduate visa before the next elections?
May 23, 12:38 AM
Jul 18, 10:59 PM
7.12%
chance
18
5661
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7223
554
Will the percentage of top graduates in math and CS at elite universities who aspire to AI safety work rise by May 2029?
May 23, 1:22 PM
May 31, 3:59 AM
75.03%
chance
36
2074
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1733
577
Will the average Math score in the 2024 Vietnamese national high school graduation exam be higher than last year?
Jun 11, 8:24 AM
Aug 1, 4:59 PM
46.8%
chance
3
35
Option
Votes
YES
NO
107
94
Will a device for behavior modification by punishment called "graduated electronic decelerator" be banned in USA by the end of 2024?
Jan 12, 6:29 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
35.04%
chance
6
87
Option
Votes
YES
NO
181
88
Will the relative earnings of college graduates decrease by 2030?
Feb 8, 5:29 AM
Jan 1, 6:01 AM
70.55%
chance
6
96
Option
Votes
NO
YES
178
100
If Trump wins in 2024, which colleges will the US automatically provide green cards to graduates of, by the end of 2025?
Jun 22, 4:51 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
2
69
What degrees (including majors and minors) will I graduate with from the University of Chicago?
Dec 28, 2:48 PM
Jun 15, 3:59 PM
9
451
What will be true about Trump's running mate / Vice President pick?
Jan 10, 6:58 PM
Jul 31, 3:59 AM
256
40692
Which party will win the popular vote in the 2024 US Presidential election (by subgroup)?
Jan 4, 9:48 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
58
6770
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, what will the ranking order of films be?
Mar 3, 6:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
874
What traits will Harvard's next permanent president have? MegaMarket (101 traits to bet yes/no on!)
Jan 2, 6:35 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
145
23593
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, which films from last time will make it again?
Mar 4, 4:49 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
27
6586
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Paul Simon's Hearing Loss Journey and Broken Friendship with Art Garfunkel Captured by Alex Gibney in New Documentary
Authors
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3 months
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