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The Get Down News
Prediction markets for The Get Down
Prediction markets for The Get Down
Will Milei's DNU emergency decree get shut down by Congress before the end of 2024?
Dec 22, 3:53 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
36.24%
chance
3
41
Option
Votes
YES
NO
108
76
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
Feb 26, 6:03 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23.29%
chance
1926
1631777
Option
Votes
YES
NO
8830
7515
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
200
82090
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
Feb 20, 10:45 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
41%
chance
294
69329
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2743
2486
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:01 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
515
325994
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024?
Mar 1, 7:31 PM
Jan 1, 7:40 AM
127
349679
Will Joe Biden get impeached in his first term?
Jun 15, 7:13 PM
Oct 2, 3:59 AM
7.31%
chance
1067
482092
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10539
3897
What will be the most impactful feature developed in 2024? (open for trading)
Apr 4, 3:50 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8
502
Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?
Jan 30, 7:05 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
52.11%
chance
82
4914
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10381
9538
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
Apr 29, 8:55 PM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
52%
chance
257
139105
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1804
1722
Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?
May 27, 10:51 PM
Sep 1, 6:59 AM
16.08%
chance
24
14357
Option
Votes
YES
NO
15772
9592
What will happen with record label lawsuits against Suno (AI music company) in 2024? Multiple options (not exclusive).
Jun 24, 5:48 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25
7439
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