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Prediction markets for the Germans

Which parties will form the next German federal government?

Oct 10, 9:30 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

468950

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

36.7%chance

509555

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1354

746

Will Sarah Wagenknecht's BSW be part of the next German federal parliament?

Oct 23, 5:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.09%chance

6214509

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1404

548

Will the current German government abolish/reduce the company car privilege?

Dec 7, 9:56 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

30.45%chance

10296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

985

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.42%chance

15544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

911

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

24.86%chance

11674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1023

876

Will Deutsche Bank AG be bailed out by the German government before 2026?

Mar 25, 12:30 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

20.07%chance

15633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1267

886

Will the German government declare a state of emergency ("Notlage") for the 2024 budget?

Feb 10, 8:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.96%chance

19429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

871

What share of the vote will the SPD receive in the next German federal election?

Jan 7, 2:51 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.09%chance

14383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

961

What share of the vote will the Greens receive in the next German federal election?

Jan 7, 2:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.39%chance

15313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

958

What share of the vote will the AFD receive in the next German federal election?

Jan 7, 2:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.94%chance

22441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

985

Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (CDU/CSU)

Apr 14, 1:13 AMJul 30, 11:00 AM

83.56%chance

151106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1343

836

Articles

Latest stories

German Police Investigate Racist Chants in Sylt and Bavaria Nightclubs
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1 month
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