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The FP News
Prediction markets for The FP
Prediction markets for The FP
Will the price of the cheapest Sigma FP drop below $800 again on MPB by the end of 2024?
Apr 10, 6:22 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
150
Will Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) announce intent to build an AP1000 at Turkey Point in 2024?
Jun 10, 8:52 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
47.68%
chance
3
511
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10472
9549
Will the FP8 numeric format be considered a required feature for AI frameworks and accelerator hardware before the end of 2024?
Jan 7, 10:05 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
46.81%
chance
15
393
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1063
918
Will a LLM trained with FP4 have competitive performance in 2 years time?
Jan 21, 4:28 AM
Jan 21, 11:59 PM
22.9%
chance
12
1331
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1118
936
Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?
Dec 13, 8:21 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
19.76%
chance
22
702
Option
Votes
NO
YES
985
982
Will playing a FPS game like doom or system shock that flickers at 40Hz be shown to stimulate glymphatic clearance?
Apr 10, 9:19 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
44.8%
chance
2
11
Option
Votes
YES
NO
131
110
Will Britain still use FPTP voting (and no other voting mechanisms) for picking MPs in 2040?
Jan 28, 6:53 AM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
59.39%
chance
8
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
215
197
When will the betting interface in the Manifold app run at more than 1 FPS on my phone?
Mar 6, 6:09 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
5
82
Should we switch away from FPOP in local US elections? Is it worth the cost?
Jun 14, 6:45 PM
1
0
Will Clean Air Task Force be recommended as a top charity by Founders Pledge or Giving Green in 2026?
May 23, 3:46 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
76%
chance
5
314
Option
Votes
NO
YES
334
180
Will the TOP500 use lower-precision for its primary ranking methodology on 1/1/26?
Mar 18, 9:28 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.99%
chance
3
36
Option
Votes
YES
NO
133
93
Articles
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Students Shun Ivy League for Southern Colleges Like Clemson, Seeking Diversity
Authors
4
2 months
Culture
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