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Prediction markets for the Finals

Will any RealClearPolitics "battleground state" final polling average be off by 6 or more points in the 2024 election?

Jun 13, 12:30 PMDec 1, 8:59 PM

56.15%chance

171501

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

884

Will the FTC's new non-compete ban be upheld on final appeal?

Apr 24, 11:45 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM

37.55%chance

161096

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2466

1654

When will the final resolved market on Manifold be resolved?

Apr 6, 11:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17883

Will Real Madrid make it to the 2024/25 Champions League Final?

Jun 3, 12:56 PMMay 31, 3:59 AM

38.43%chance

231389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1266

790

Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?

Apr 3, 7:06 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

84.39%chance

381967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1611

1192

Will Germany (the host country) reach the semi-finals at UEFA Euro 2024?

May 27, 11:06 AMJul 9, 10:59 PM

56%chance

708978

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

886

Will the CFTC finalize a rule that Bans US election betting before Jan 20, 2025?

May 10, 5:59 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

41.26%chance

17403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1070

940

Imu will be stronger than Blackbeard AND the final villain of One Piece

Jan 3, 10:26 PMOct 3, 4:59 AM

59.79%chance

836737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

759

Will France reach the semi-finals at UEFA Euro 2024?

May 31, 9:53 AMJul 9, 10:59 PM

67.31%chance

432760

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1435

697

Will 'The Boy and the Heron' be Hayao Miyazaki's final movie?

Nov 22, 4:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.8%chance

15672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

901

Will the UEFA Euro 2024 final be decided by penalty kicks?

Aug 6, 2:01 PMJul 15, 3:59 AM

23.11%chance

14539

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

973

Will Pod Save America Host Jon Lovett make it to the final five in Survivor Season 47?

May 23, 3:42 AMNov 2, 6:59 AM

24.32%chance

71395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1764

567

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Latest stories

Boston Celtics Heavy Favorites for 2024 NBA Finals with 64 Wins, 12-2 Postseason Record, Seeking First Title Since 2008
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